基于物元可拓的电网运营风险评价研究

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摘要电网运营是保证电网安全稳定运行的一道重要屏障。本文为评价电网的运营状态,首先识别出影响电网运营风险的主要因素,构建了包括结构、设备、管理、环境因素的评价指标体系,采用区间层次分析法计算各指标的权重,然后基于物元可拓法建立运营风险评价模型,最后结合江苏某地区输变电工程具体实例进行分析,针对性地提出应对策略,为日后电网工程安全有效运行提供了保障。

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	周豪奇
	余云川
	高银霞

关键词 ：电网工程, 运营风险, 区间层次分析, 物元可拓

Abstract：With the rapid growth of social demand for electricity, power grid operation is an important barrier to ensure the safe and stable operation of the power grid. In order to evaluate the operation status of the power grid, the main factors affecting the operation risk of the power grid are firstly identified, an evaluation index system including structure, equipment, management and environmental factors is constructed, the weight of each index is calculated by interval analytic hierarchy process, and then an operation risk evaluation model is established based on matter-element extension method. Finally, a specific example of a power transmission and transformation project in a certain area of Jiangsu province is analyzed, and corresponding countermeasures are put forward, which provides guarantee for the safe and effective operation of the power grid project in the future.

Key words： power grid engineering operational risk interval level analysis matter element extension

收稿日期: 2019-02-21 出版日期: 2019-09-12

引用本文:

周豪奇, 余云川, 高银霞. 基于物元可拓的电网运营风险评价研究[J]. 电气技术, 2019, 20(9): 59-64. Zhou Haoqi, Yu Yunchuan, Gao Yinxia. Research on risk assessment of power grid operation based on matter-element extension. Electrical Engineering, 2019, 20(9): 59-64.

链接本文:

http://dqjs.cesmedia.cn/CN/Y2019/V20/I9/59

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