Abstract:There are a variety of methods to predict long-term electric load. However,the limitations of the methods are a number of factors. The linear regression model,quadratic polynomial model and gray prediction model are proposed in the paper for power load forecasting,respectively. These thee methods are taken together again to establish the variance-covariance combination forecasting model. By comparison concluded,this method greatly reduces errors,improves the prediction accuracy and can scientifically predict long-term power load.
唐祥玲,王平,李思岑,白朝元. 基于方差-协方差组合预测的中长期电力负荷预测研究[J]. 电气技术, 2015, 16(01): 15-18.
Tang Xiangling,Wang Ping,Li Sicen,Bai Chaoyuan. Research on Medium and Long-term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Variance-covariance Combined Model. Electrical Engineering, 2015, 16(01): 15-18.