Electrical Engineering  2015, Vol. 16 Issue (10): 13-16    DOI:
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Research on Load Forecast Method Introducing Load-temperature-gradient
Cheng Zhuo
Shenzhen Power Supply Co., Ltd, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000

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Abstract  Through analying a large number of daily maximum temperature and daily maximum load, separating the temperature sensitive load from the basic load, and finding a parameter, which named load-temperature-gradient to express the relationship of the temperature sensitive load and temperature. Forecasting the load-temperature-gradient by historical data, A new load forecast method, including load-temperature-gradient, is put forward. This method can decrease the error caused in the situation that load increases within short time under extreme weather, which can’t reflect the real power demand situation.
Key wordsload-temperature-gradient      load forecast      trend extrapolation     
Published: 28 October 2015
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Cheng Zhuo
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Cheng Zhuo. Research on Load Forecast Method Introducing Load-temperature-gradient[J]. Electrical Engineering, 2015, 16(10): 13-16.
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https://dqjs.cesmedia.cn/EN/Y2015/V16/I10/13
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