考虑产业结构调整的用电量指标关联分析及负荷预测

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Abstract In recent years, China's industrial structure upgrade is entering the new stage of three phase stack, which makes the power demand structure changes dramatically and frequently. In view of the common power load forecasting methods problems in the industrial structure adjustment period, this paper use vector error correction theory to analyze the relationship between total electricity consumption and the three industries, and the relationship between the electricity consumption index and gross industrial production, and a new method of power consumption prediction is proposed. Examples demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed method.

Key words： total electricity consumption vector error correction model adjustment of industrial structures GDP

Published: 23 May 2017

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	Articles by authors
	Yang Fangyuan
	Shi Yuchao
	Hou Yucheng

Cite this article:

Yang Fangyuan,Shi Yuchao,Hou Yucheng. Correlation Analysis of Electricity Consumption Index and Load Forecasting Considering Adjustment of Industrial Structures[J]. Electrical Engineering, 2017, 18(5): 19-23.

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http://dqjs.cesmedia.cn/EN/Y2017/V18/I5/19

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