|
|
Operational Risk Assessment on Bulk System Associated with Large-scale Wind Farms |
Gao Zhongxu1, Li Shijie1, Li Chunpeng1, Fan Junjie2, Yang Yang3 |
1. State Grid Haining Power Supply Company City, Haining, Zhejiang 314400; 2. State Grid Jiaxing State Grid Power Supply Company City, Jiaxing, Zhejiang 314000; 3. State Grid Tongxiang State Grid Power Supply Company City, Jiaxing, Zhejiang 314500 |
|
|
Abstract Including the wind farm collector line failure, reactive power compensation equipment failures and other risk factors, develop the sources of risk which impact the safe operation of bulk system deeply, then establish the reliability model of these risk factors suited for operation risk assessment. Based on non-sequential Monte Carlo simulation, using the average and scattered sampling method for state selection. Establish the operational risk assessment indices of bulk system with large scale wind farm integrated, and develop the process of operational risk assessment. The numerical tests of IEEE-RTS79 network are proposed, which prove the proposed algorithm could be reference for adjusting power output plan, positioning grid weaknesses and determining the absorptive capacity of wind power.
|
Published: 20 September 2017
|
|
|
|
Cite this article: |
Gao Zhongxu,Li Shijie,Li Chunpeng等. Operational Risk Assessment on Bulk System Associated with Large-scale Wind Farms[J]. Electrical Engineering, 2017, 18(9): 29-34.
|
|
|
|
URL: |
http://dqjs.cesmedia.cn/EN/Y2017/V18/I9/29
|
[1] 可再生能源发展十三五规划[Z]. 北京: 2016. [2] 张硕, 李庚银, 周明, 等. 风电场可靠性建模[J]. 电网技术, 2009, 33(13): 37-53. [3] Billinton R, Guang B. Generating capacity adequacy associated with wind energy[J]. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 2004, 19(3): 641-646. [4] Billinton R, Chen H, Ghajar R. A sequential simulation technique for adequacy evaluation of generating systems including wind energy[J]. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 1996, 11(4): 728-734. [5] Wangdee W, Billinton R. Considering load-carrying capability and wind speed correlation of WECS in Generation adequacy assessment[J]. Energy Con- version, IEEE Transactions on, 2006, 21(3): 734-741. [6] Billinton R, Gao Y. Multistate wind energy conversion system models for adequacy assessment of generating systems incorporating wind energy[J]. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 2008, 23(1): 163-170. [7] Billinton R, Yi G, Karki R. Composite system adequacy assessment incorporating Large-Scale wind energy conversion systems considering wind speed correlation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2009, 24(3): 1375-1382. [8] 张硕, 李庚银, 周明. 含风电场的发输电系统可靠性评估[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2010, 30(7): 8-14. [9] 邓渝亭, 陈亮. 风电场集电线路防雷保护的研究[J]. 电气技术, 2016, 17(6): 167-169. [10] 刘海涛, 程林, 孙元章, 等. 采用瞬时概率的运行可靠性短期评估[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2006, 28(13): 20-25. [11] 杨秀媛, 肖洋, 陈树勇. 风电场风速和发电功率预测研究[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2005, 25(11): 1-5. [12] 尹东阳, 盛义发, 李永胜, 等. 基于EMD和RBFNN的短期风速预测[J]. 电气技术, 2014, 15(6): 44-47. [13] 刘秋华, 董丹丹, 韩韬. 基于层次分析法的配电网风险评估指标体系研究[J]. 电气技术, 2016, 17(9): 39-42. [14] 高忠旭. 风电场入网的可靠性分析及运行风险评估[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2014. [15] 冯永青, 吴文传, 孙宏斌, 等. 现代能量控制中心的运行风险评估研究初探[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2005, 25(13): 73-79. [16] 蒋程, 刘文霞, 张建华, 等. 含风电接入的发输电系统风险评估[J]. 电工技术学报, 2014, 29(2): 260-270. [17] 施涛, 高山, 张宁宇. 含风电场的机组组合二阶段随机模型及其改进算法[J]. 电工技术学报, 2016, 31(16): 172-180. [18] 于东, 孙欣, 高丙团, 等. 考虑风电不确定出力的风电并网协调优化模型[J]. 电工技术学报, 2016, 31(9): 34-41. [19] IEEE Reliability Test System[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1979, 98(6): 2047- 2054. |
|
|
|