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| Study on electricity load characteristic and model prediction in residential areas |
| Guo Guotai |
| Xiamen Electric Power Survey and Design Institute Co., Ltd, Xiamen, Fujian 361009 |
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Abstract With the large-scale development of residential areas, residential load will be on the distribution network security and economic operation can not be ignored. The number of residential areas continue to increase, the changing structure of electricity, making residential areas for power distribution design problems need to continue to analyze and summarize. How to provide more secure, stable and reliable power supply and distribution system and quality qualified power supply quality to the residents in engineering practice becomes an urgent problem to be solved. Based on the load data of residential area in Fujian area, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the load characteristic index on the basis of large amount of data and compares the load of residential area between different cities, summarizes the characteristics of residential load development and the change of characteristic index Analysis. Finally, the time series analysis is used to establish the prediction model and prove that the model has high fitting and prediction accuracy. The overall research work has certain guiding significance to the actual planning of the distribution network.
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Received: 30 April 2019
Published: 18 January 2020
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2020, Vol. 21 
