Abstract：Establishing the correlation between macrolevel indexes and power supply reliability is essential to analyzing the power supply reliability of distribution network on a large scale (provincial and municipal). However, the existing methods rely on the detailed distribution network topology, which is difficult to meet the requirements of regional power supply reliability analysis. This paper firstly establishes a macrolevel index system of power supply reliability for planning, construction, operation and management of distribution networks. Then a calculation method of power supply reliability is proposed by taking into account the automated isolation of distribution networks and pre-scheduled outages. On this foundation, the calculation method of power supply reliability based on the macrolevel index system is proposed by dividing the equivalence assessment sub-models and calculating the parameters of the sub-models. Finally, a case study is carried out to verify the proposed method. The results show that the relative deviation between the calculation results of the proposed method and the actual data is within 11%. The method proposed in this paper can analyze power supply reliability in the region by using only the macrolevel indexes, which provides a certain degree of accuracy and operability for the planning of distribution networks, reliability management and reliability target setting.
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2025, Vol. 26 
